Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Politics · Active · Ends Oct 20, 2026Large-trade volume, all time$62.1KLiquidity now$88.1K

Polymarket ↗

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Current prices

Remain 40–60%: 99%
Remain 60–80%: <1%
Remain 20–40%: <1%
3 other options: Each under 1%

Whale flow

Most net bullish, last 7 days · Remain 40–60%: +$11.9K
Wallets, last 7 days: 6
Bullish money, last 7 days: $16.9K
Bearish money, last 7 days: $4.4K
Largest trade, last 7 days · Buy Yes Remain 60–80%

Excludes $3.4K of sells at 95¢+ (closing near-certain positions)

Largest holders

WalletHoldingPosition valueAvg → now90-day return

wubddh0x94eb…37e6YesRemain 40–60%$9.5K98.8¢ → 98.6¢+2.6% · Top 29%

rookie7650xf1c9…363fYesRemain 40–60%$8.3K74.4¢ → 98.6¢+11.1% · Top 12%

pagliacci40x9b55…1167NoRemain 60–80%largest$6KTotal of 2 positions89.9¢ → 99.3¢−0.2% · Top 49%

Nostdam0xe732…898fNoLeave winslargest$3.3KTotal of 2 positions97.3¢ → 100¢+3.4% · Top 26%

mrworldwide0x98d0…f14aYesRemain 40–60%largest$3.1KTotal of 2 positions77.8¢ → 98.6¢+11.0% · Top 12%

CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74NoRemain 60–80%largest$3.1KTotal of 2 positions90¢ → 99.3¢−0.9% · Bottom 47%

enderone0xab21…c521NoLeave wins$2.5K97.2¢ → 100¢+1.0% · Top 37%

0xf1ca…4477NoRemain 60–80%$1.4K99.3¢ → 99.3¢Not available

0x99df…9639NoRemain 60–80%$1.4K88¢ → 99.3¢−0.7% · Only 2 positions

0x91c7…b576YesRemain 40–60%largest$1.1KTotal of 2 positions77.6¢ → 98.6¢−15.4% · Bottom 13%

Price history

Recent large trades

10 of 34 trades, last 7 days

TimeWalletActionOptionAmount

1 hour agoAddarash−12.5%Sell98¢YesRemain 40–60%$2K

1 day agoAddarash−12.5%Sell99.1¢YesRemain 40–60%$2.7K

1 day agowubddh+2.6%Buy99.1¢YesRemain 40–60%$3K

2 days agomrworldwide+11.0%Sell99.5¢NoRemain 60–80%$1.8K

2 days agolug−2.8%Sell98.9¢NoRemain 60–80%$2K

3 days agowubddh+2.6%Buy99.2¢YesRemain 40–60%$1K

4 days agowubddh+2.6%Buy99.2¢YesRemain 40–60%$2.5K

4 days agoMJB+3.6%Sell99¢NoRemain 20–40%$1.7K

4 days agoRex416−3.4%Sell98.6¢NoRemain 60–80%$1.4K

4 days ago0xc7d0…1f8a−1.2%Buy93.5¢YesRemain 40–60%$1.1K

About this market

Remain 40–60% trades at 98.6¢, down 0.3¢ in 24 hours. Whales were net bullish on Remain 40–60% by $11.9K in the last 7 days (6 wallets). Data as of 2026-10-24.

See all live Polymarket whale trades

Whale flow

Most net bullish, last 7 days · Remain 40–60%: +$11.9K
Wallets, last 7 days: 6
Bullish money, last 7 days: $16.9K
Bearish money, last 7 days: $4.4K
Largest trade, last 7 days · Buy Yes Remain 60–80%