PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc7d0…1f8a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$295KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.2%22,395 settled · past 90 days639 open · 42% underwater · 29 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$21.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,348Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.9% / $95% interval −61.3% to +43.6%181 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.6%n=105 settled
Tech
−3.6%n=14 settled
Finance
−10.6%n=33 settled
Culture
−23.3%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.2% · Decided 22,395 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Complete29 minutes ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$165.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$372.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
1.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$3KPnL+$80Avg96.8¢Current99.5¢3,014.27Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$940Avg55¢Current91.5¢2,574.64Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$69Avg95.2¢Current98.2¢2,355.01Shares
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$50Avg96.2¢Current98.4¢2,305Shares
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$1.8KAvg18.7¢Current95.6¢2,356.55Shares
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$362Avg71.7¢Current85.5¢2,613Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$47Avg97.7¢Current100¢2,067.5Shares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$2KPnL+$1.7KAvg14.3¢Current98.4¢2,072.53Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a: 41.2% win rate over 22,395 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −61.3%, n=181 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.6% over 105 fills); +$295K lifetime P&L, $21.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.