PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Nostdam

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$60.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.7%1,305 settled · past 180 days30 open · 51% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,066Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.7% · Decided 1,305 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22K
Concentration
47.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
396
Showing the largest 8 of 396
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$646PnL+$229Avg37.4¢Current58¢1,114.33Shares
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$126PnL+$33Avg64¢Current86.5¢145.2Shares
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$124PnL+$72Avg36.2¢Current86¢144.58Shares
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$84PnL−$84Avg67¢Current33.5¢249.98Shares
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?
YesValue$62PnL+$6Avg56¢Current62¢100Shares
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
NoValue$57PnL+$15Avg64.8¢Current88¢64.8Shares
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$32PnL−$6Avg4.7¢Current4¢811.76Shares
Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
YesValue$31PnL+$17Avg2.6¢Current6¢514.86Shares
Showing 8 of 396 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nostdam: 60.7% win rate over 1,305 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$60.1K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.