Polymarket Whale Flow Evidence — Week of Jul 20, 2026
Jul 20, 2026 – Jul 26, 2026 · all data from on-chain transactions and the Polymarket API
The week in one answer
Jul 20, 2026–Jul 26, 2026
Sports carried most tracked whale volume this week.
Sports accounted for 70% of recorded ≥$1K trade volume. Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? was the largest single event at 9% of the weekly total.
Volume fell 51.5% while trade count fell 38.4% versus the prior completed week.
Volume describes recorded ≥$1K fills. It does not establish directional conviction unless the underlying Event evidence says so.
- Leading category
- 70% Sports
- Top event share
- 9% Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- Top trader share
- 2% 0x3dfb…abaf
Total Volume$296.6M↓ 51.5% vs prior week
Whale Trades80,108
Active Whales8,432
Events Traded5,139
Top traders by volume
0x3dfb…abafMarket Maker
327 trades$5.2M
ferrariChampions2026High Frequency
1078 trades$4.4M
0xf891…5d36Directional
253 trades$4.0M
033033033High Frequency
186 trades$3.8M
HomeRunHazardHigh Frequency
1214 trades$3.7M
SPCEXBUYERHigh Frequency
447 trades$3.4M
swisstonyMarket Maker
1406 trades$3.1M
RN1High Frequency
930 trades$2.6M
suntoriMarket Maker
708 trades$2.4M
0x5f65…2036Market Maker
320 trades$2.2M
Largest single trades
Most active events
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
2269 trades · 677 whales$26.8M
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
4312 trades · 410 whales$14.1M
Fed Decision in July?
1985 trades · 454 whales$12.3M
NBA: LeBron James Next Team
1248 trades · 338 whales$5.3M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
1345 trades · 250 whales$4.9M
World Cup Winner
126 trades · 78 whales$3.6M
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
800 trades · 192 whales$2.9M
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
849 trades · 253 whales$2.4M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
477 trades · 157 whales$2.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July…
282 trades · 131 whales$1.6M
Volume by category
Sports$206.8M52,823 trades
Politics$41.3M12,301 trades
Crypto$20.8M7,364 trades
Finance$18.3M3,885 trades
Unmapped$3.2M1,181 trades
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All data is derived from on-chain Polymarket transactions and the Polymarket Data API. Whale trades are defined as single fills worth $1K+. See our methodology for details. Data provided under our data license.