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Trader profile

qmarktea2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate90.3%434 settled · past 90 days104 open · 49% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$295.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded302Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.0% / $95% interval −12.6% to +14.7%632 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+1.4%n=359 settled
Sports
+0.7%n=108 settled
Politics
+0.2%n=144 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 90.3% · Decided 434 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$7.3M
Snapshot cash PnL
+$81.4K
Concentration
54%
Largest share of value
Positions
104
Showing the largest 8 of 104
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$4MPnL+$1.5MAvg50¢Current79.4¢5,000,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$1MPnL−$1.5MAvg50¢Current20.7¢5,000,000Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
NoValue$306.4KPnL+$7.2KAvg97.3¢Current99.7¢307,458.61Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$264.4KPnL+$7.2KAvg91.9¢Current94.5¢279,749.44Shares
Trump out as President by September 30?
NoValue$252.4KPnL+$2.2KAvg98.9¢Current99.8¢253,053.51Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$246.8KPnL+$14.4KAvg93.8¢Current99.7¢247,635.14Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$193.9KPnL+$17.8KAvg88.5¢Current97.4¢199,111.44Shares
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$153.9KPnL+$2.4KAvg98.3¢Current99.9¢154,128.14Shares
Showing 8 of 104 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet qmarktea2: 90.3% win rate over 434 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −12.6%, n=632 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+1.4% over 359 fills); +$2.1M lifetime P&L, $295.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.