PolyTrace
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Trader profile

RN1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.8MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.6%60,387 settled · past 90 days11 open · 46% underwater · 38 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1277.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded564Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.7% / $95% interval −4.5% to +5.8%26,737 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+1.1%n=1,087 settled
Sports
+0.6%n=25,650 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.6% · Decided 60,387 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Complete38 minutes ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$53.5K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.2M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
76.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$41KPnL+$19.3KAvg52.9¢Current100¢41,034.74Shares
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
Under · NoValue$2.3KPnL−$290Avg85¢Current75.5¢3,048Shares
Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-23?
YesValue$2KPnL+$254Avg87.5¢Current100¢2,047.94Shares
Spread: América de Cali (-2.5)
Águilas Doradas Rionegro · NoValue$1.8KPnL+$320Avg82¢Current100¢1,780Shares
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-09-23?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$144Avg91.5¢Current100¢1,703.9Shares
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$208Avg66¢Current76¢2,070Shares
Exact Score: América de Cali 3 - 3 Águilas Doradas Rionegro?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$2Avg99.8¢Current100¢1,535Shares
Will Vancouver FC vs. Inter Toronto FC end in a draw?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$117Avg66.8¢Current73¢1,887.68Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RN1: 48.6% win rate over 60,387 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.5%, n=26,737 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.6% over 25,650 fills); +$12.8M lifetime P&L, $1277.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.