PolyTrace
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Trader profile

swisstony

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.4MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.8%98,696 settled · past 90 days125 open · 38% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1850.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,175Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.1% / $95% interval −1.1% to +13.4%43,231 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.2%n=43,206 settled
Unmapped
−18.1%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.8% · Decided 98,696 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$21.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$714
Concentration
14.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
125
Showing the largest 8 of 125
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$3.2KPnL−$357Avg95¢Current85.5¢3,761.89Shares
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?
YesValue$2.6KPnL+$185Avg38.6¢Current41.5¢6,361.35Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$116Avg90.9¢Current85.1¢1,982.27Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$1.2KPnL−$7Avg95.8¢Current95.3¢1,228.83Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$913PnL−$24Avg97.4¢Current94.9¢961.58Shares
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
LG Twins · NoValue$707PnL+$313Avg50.7¢Current91¢777.12Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$626PnL−$78Avg96.1¢Current85.4¢733.6Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$589PnL+$19Avg91¢Current94¢627Shares
Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet swisstony: 55.8% win rate over 98,696 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −1.1%, n=43,231 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.2% over 43,206 fills); +$18.4M lifetime P&L, $1850.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.