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Trader profile

HomeRunHazard

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.9%37,047 settled · past 90 days291 open · 46% underwater · 4 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$344.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,138Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.5% / $95% interval −1.2% to +4.2%24,539 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.5%n=24,346 settled
Unmapped
−3.5%n=193 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.9% · Decided 37,047 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete4 minutes ago
Current position value
$328.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.3M
Concentration
16.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,793
Showing the largest 8 of 4,793
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
Under · NoValue$53.9KPnL+$26.2KAvg51.3¢Current100¢53,925.28Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$38.9KPnL+$6.9KAvg82.3¢Current100¢38,897.52Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$30.5KPnL+$4KAvg52.6¢Current60.5¢50,344.62Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
Over · YesValue$22.8KPnL+$8.9KAvg47¢Current77¢29,643.11Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$20.7KPnL+$2.1KAvg70.6¢Current78.5¢26,365.96Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$14.4KPnL+$1.9KAvg54.4¢Current62.5¢23,000.25Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$11KPnL+$1.9KAvg32.5¢Current39.5¢27,770.34Shares
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 172.5
Over · YesValue$8.7KPnL+$3.3KAvg51¢Current83¢10,448.32Shares
Showing 8 of 4,793 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HomeRunHazard: 50.9% win rate over 37,047 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −1.2%, n=24,539 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.5% over 24,346 fills); +$1.3M lifetime P&L, $344.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.