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aff3

Realized P&L+$264.5KAll-time volume (shares)16.6M

≈ 1–4 emails a week

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Last 90 days

Return: +2.0%
Whales outperformed: 68%
Settled positions: 59
Invested: $1.2M

Current positions

Updated 4 hours ago

Positions: 16
Value: $597.8K
Unrealized P&L: +$35.4K

EventValueP&L

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?On No · 84¢ → 94.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.2K 9 days ago

$262.9K+$29.2K

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?On No · 93¢ → 94.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $7.6K 1 day ago

$214.5K+$3.4K

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?On Yes · 88.3¢ → 91.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $11.9K 1 month ago

$52K+$1.8K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?On No · 85¢ → 81.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $20K 6 days ago

$19.2K−$823

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?On No · 95.8¢ → 97.9¢

$18.1K+$390

11 smaller positions, $31.2K in total

Trades · last 30 days

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount

1 day agoBuyNo95¢AddWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$7.6K

6 days agoBuyNo95¢AddWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$143.1K

6 days agoBuyNo85¢OpenWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20K

8 days agoSellNo95¢ReduceWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$73.9K

9 days agoBuy94¢AddFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?On NoDecember 31, 2026$1.2K

90-day record

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About this wallet

aff3 mostly bets on Politics. Last 90 days: 59 positions, up $23.6K (+2.0%), win rate 83%; realized P&L up $264.5K. Data as of 2026-10-24.

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