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AlphaGooo

Realized P&L+$2.1KAll-time volume (shares)938.4K
≈ 1–4 emails a week
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Last 90 days

Return
−1.7%
Whales outperformed
—
Settled positions
232
Invested
$150.6K

Current positions

Updated 5 hours ago
Positions
26
Value
$2.7K
Unrealized P&L
−$3.7K
EventValueP&L
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?On Yes · 67.2¢ → 71.3¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.2K 2 days ago
$1.4K+$82
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?On Yes · 23.7¢ → 20.5¢
$319−$50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?On Yes · 29.8¢ → 10¢
$145−$288
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?On Yes · 16¢ → 19.5¢
$144+$26
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?On Yes · 31.3¢ → 37.5¢
$113+$19
21 smaller positions, $527 in total
51 more finished positions awaiting settlement, −$5.9K in total
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?On Yes · 35.2¢ → 0¢
$0−$1.5K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?On No · 64.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$819
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?On No · 47.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$806
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?On No · 70¢ → 0¢
$0−$280
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?On YesUp · 63¢ → 0¢
$0−$252
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?On Yes · 73¢ → 0¢
$0−$219
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?On NoDown · 23.5¢ → 0¢
$0−$188
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?On Yes · 28.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$174
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $430?On Yes · 68.6¢ → 0¢
$0−$172
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?On No · 69¢ → 0¢
$0−$138
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?On No · 49¢ → 0¢
$0−$98
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?On Yes · 16.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$98
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?On YesUp · 63.7¢ → 0¢
$0−$96
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?On No · 44.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$88
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?On Yes · 22.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$82
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $435?On Yes · 61.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$78
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?On YesUp · 49.2¢ → 0¢
$0−$75
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $425?On Yes · 68¢ → 0¢
$0−$68
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?On YesUp · 49.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$64
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?On Yes · 16.6¢ → 0¢
$0−$62

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 51

Trades · last 30 days

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount
Sell67¢Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsSold YesDemocrats Sweep$2.3K
Buy67¢Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsOn YesDemocrats Sweep$2.3K
Buy85¢OpenWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?On YesIliana Iotova$1K
Buy67.2¢OpenNext Prime Minister of Serbia?On YesAleksandar Vučić$1.2K
Sell36.1¢ReduceWho wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Sold NoOil ≥ $80; D Senate$1K

90-day record

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Follow AlphaGooo by email

Alerts on trades of $1K+ · it traded that size on 16 of the last 30 days, so about 1–4 emails a week

About this wallet

AlphaGooo mostly bets on Politics. Last 90 days: 232 positions, down $2.6K (−1.7%); realized P&L up $2.1K. Data as of 2026-10-24.

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