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Specialist200303

Realized P&L−$230All-time volume (shares)36K
An email now and then
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Last 90 days

Return
−11.7%
Whales outperformed
17%
Settled positions
312
Invested
$2K

Current positions

Delayed · 5 days ago
Positions
249
Value
$4.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$390
EventValueP&L
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?On Yes · 50.9¢ → 56.7¢
$675+$69
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?On Yes · 90.1¢ → 85.3¢
$505−$29
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?On Yes · 90¢ → 93.8¢
$473+$19
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?On Yes · 26.3¢ → 31.3¢
$372+$59
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?On Yes · 26.9¢ → 67.5¢
$261+$157
244 smaller positions, $2.6K in total
307 more finished positions awaiting settlement · worth $1.6K · −$1.2K P&L
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?On Yes · 32.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$124
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?On Yes · 53.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$92
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 48¢ → 0¢
$0−$82
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?On Yes · 35.7¢ → 0¢
$0−$64
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 36¢ → 0¢
$0−$61
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?On Yes · 52¢ → 0¢
$0−$43
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?On Yes · 17.5¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?On Yes · 28¢ → 0¢
$0−$39
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?On Yes · 15.8¢ → 0¢
$0−$38
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?On Yes · 21¢ → 0¢
$0−$37
Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?On Yes · 19.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$28
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?On Yes · 56¢ → 0¢
$0−$27
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?On Yes · 9.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?On Yes · 15.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$16
Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?On Yes · 30¢ → 0¢
$0−$14
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?On Yes · 32¢ → 0¢
$0−$13
Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?On Yes · 9.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$13
Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 7.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$13
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?On Yes · 80.7¢ → 0¢
$0−$12
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?On Yes · 66¢ → 0¢
$0−$12

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 307

Trades · last 30 days

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount
Buy90.4¢Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?On YesNo Hormuz Agreement$1.2K

90-day record

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Follow Specialist200303 by email

Alerts on trades of $1K+ · it traded that size on 1 of the last 30 days, so an email now and then

About this wallet

Specialist200303 mostly bets on Politics. Last 90 days: 312 positions, down $230 (−11.7%), win rate 15%; realized P&L down $230. Data as of 2026-10-19.

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