supersmard

Realized P&L+$76.5KAll-time volume (shares)2M

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Last 90 days

Return: +29.8%
Whales outperformed: —
Settled positions: 130
Invested: $198.5K

Current positions

Updated 21 hours ago

Positions: 28
Value: $73.4K
Unrealized P&L: +$6.6K

EventValueP&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?On Yes · 62.4¢ → 69.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.3K 5 days ago

$13.5K+$1.4K

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?On No · 34.8¢ → 38.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $3.6K 3 days ago

$11.8K+$1.1K

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?On Yes · 29.1¢ → 38.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $5.8K 25 days ago

$7.9K+$1.9K

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?On No · 28.4¢ → 26.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $3.8K 6 days ago

$7.5K−$522

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?On No · 11.5¢ → 12¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $3.7K 2 days ago

$6.2K+$240

23 smaller positions, $26.5K in total

58 more finished positions awaiting settlement, −$45.2K in total

Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 59.2¢ → 0¢

$0−$5K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?On No · 57¢ → 0¢

$0−$2.8K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?On No · 28¢ → 0¢

$0−$2.8K

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?On Yes · 13.5¢ → 0¢

$0−$2.6K

Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 40.1¢ → 0¢

$0−$2.5K

Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?On YesOver · 67.5¢ → 0¢

$0−$2.4K

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?On No · 30.8¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.9K

Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 45.3¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.9K

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 37.3¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.9K

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?On Yes · 21.1¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.8K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?On No · 82.1¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.6K

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?On NoGrüne · 15.8¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.5K

Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?On YesOver · 32.3¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.3K

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?On Yes · 27¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.2K

Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 33.5¢ → 0¢

$0−$1.1K

Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?On NoAfD · 28.8¢ → 0¢

$0−$976

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?On Yes · 16¢ → 0¢

$0−$960

Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?On Yes · 39.1¢ → 0¢

$0−$951

Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?On Yes · 23.5¢ → 0¢

$0−$920

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?On Yes · 16¢ → 0¢

$0−$800

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 58

Trades · last 30 days

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount

2 days agoBuy12¢AddMississippi Senate Election WinnerOn NoCindy Hyde-Smith (R)$3.7K

3 days agoBuy38¢Kansas Senate Election WinnerOn NoRoger Marshall (R)$3.6K

3 days agoBuyYes46¢Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?$1.3K

5 days agoBuy64¢Ohio Senate Election WinnerOn YesSherrod Brown (D)$1.3K

6 days agoBuy28¢Nebraska Senate Election Winner On NoPete Ricketts (R)$3.8K

90-day record

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About this wallet

supersmard mostly bets on Politics. Last 90 days: 130 positions, up $59.1K (+29.8%); realized P&L up $76.5K. Data as of 2026-10-24.

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