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kaixinwan

Realized P&L+$471All-time volume (shares)114.7K
≈ 1–4 emails a week
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Last 90 days

Return
+0.8%
Whales outperformed
61%
Settled positions
341
Invested
$37.6K

Current positions

Updated 2 days ago
Positions
13
Value
$1.2K
Unrealized P&L
−$0.10
EventValueP&L
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?On No · 91.5¢ → 91¢
$1.2K−$6
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?On Yes · 11¢ → 17¢
$17+$6
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?On Yes · 50¢ → 24.5¢
$0.25−$0.26
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?On Yes · 2.1¢ → 22.5¢
$0.23+$0.20
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?On Yes · 2.1¢ → 12¢
$0.12+$0.10
8 smaller positions, $0.23 in total
88 more finished positions awaiting settlement, −$2.8K in total
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 18?On Yes · 28.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$532
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 22?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$250
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 2?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$163
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on August 4?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$150
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 3?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$113
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 2?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETOn YesUp · 9.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$100
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 6?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 31?On Yes · 50¢ → 0¢
$0−$58
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 15?On Yes · 8.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 30?On Yes · 20¢ → 0¢
$0−$30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?On Yes · 5¢ → 0¢
$0−$25

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 88

Trades · last 30 days

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount
Sell88¢Fed Decision in October?Sold YesNo change$1.2K
Buy87¢Fed Decision in October?On YesNo change$1.2K
Sell99.8¢ReduceWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Sold Yesgemini-4-argon-high$1.1K
Buy97¢Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?On NoOctober 15$1.1K

90-day record

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Follow kaixinwan by email

Alerts on trades of $1K+ · it traded that size on 4 of the last 30 days, so about 1–4 emails a week

About this wallet

kaixinwan mostly bets on Finance. Last 90 days: 341 positions, up $285 (+0.8%), win rate 52%; realized P&L up $471. Data as of 2026-10-22.

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