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0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a95

Realized P&L+$57.5KAll-time volume (shares)4.5M
≈ 1–4 emails a week
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Last 90 days

Return
+4.5%
Whales outperformed
—
Settled positions
1,230
Invested
$180.2K

Current positions

Updated 3 hours ago
Positions
16
Value
$13.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$0.56
EventValueP&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?On No · 50¢ → 55.8¢
$5.6K+$580
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?On Yes · 50¢ → 44.2¢
$4.4K−$580
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?On Yes · 97¢ → 94.5¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $3.4K 4 days ago
$3.3K−$89
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?On Yes · 60.9¢ → 68¢
$187+$20
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?On Yes · 7.8¢ → 22.1¢
$140+$90
11 smaller positions, $219 in total
159 more finished positions awaiting settlement, −$10.6K in total
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?On Yes · 33.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$5.4K
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?On No · 64.5¢ → 0¢
$0−$967
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 21?On Yes · 37.2¢ → 0¢
$0−$296
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?On Yes · 43.8¢ → 0¢
$0−$194
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?On Yes · 0.7¢ → 0¢
$0−$184
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 11?On Yes · 30.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$180
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?On Yes · 31¢ → 0¢
$0−$161
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?On Yes · 27.5¢ → 0¢
$0−$138
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?On Yes · 8¢ → 0¢
$0−$137
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?On Yes · 40.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$131
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group AOn YesA Great Chaos · 1.4¢ → 0¢
$0−$116
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 16?On Yes · 17.6¢ → 0¢
$0−$109
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?On No · 32.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$91
Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?On No · 12¢ → 0¢
$0−$91
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?On Yes · 17.2¢ → 0¢
$0−$87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?On Yes · 14.1¢ → 0¢
$0−$87
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 13?On No · 25.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$83
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?On Yes · 4¢ → 0¢
$0−$80
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?On No · 18¢ → 0¢
$0−$77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?On Yes · 5.2¢ → 0¢
$0−$76

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 159

Trades · last 30 days

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount
Buy97¢Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?On Yes16°C$3.4K
Buy62.2¢Highest temperature in London on October 16?On Yes17°C$1.1K
Sell58¢ReduceFed Decision in October?Sold No25 bps increase$1.3K
Buy50¢Fed Decision in October?On No25 bps increase$1.7K
Buy33¢What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)On YesAmmunition$1.3K

90-day record

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Follow 0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a95 by email

Alerts on trades of $1K+ · it traded that size on 9 of the last 30 days, so about 1–4 emails a week

About this wallet

0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a95 is a Polymarket wallet tracked by PolyTrace. Last 90 days: 1,230 positions, up $8.2K (+4.5%); realized P&L up $57.5K. Data as of 2026-10-24.

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