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SmartBoyBilly

Realized P&L−$8KAll-time volume (shares)533K
≈ 1–4 emails a week
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Last 90 days

Return
−5.8%
Whales outperformed
29%
Settled positions
3,414
Invested
$92.1K

Current positions

Updated 16 hours ago
Positions
1,593
Value
$80.7K
Unrealized P&L
−$5K
EventValueP&L
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?On No · 98¢ → 97.9¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $2.9K 5 days ago
$2.9K−$3
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?On Yes · 95.8¢ → 96.2¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.3K 2 days ago
$1.6K+$7
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?On No · 96.4¢ → 97.9¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.2K 22 days ago
$1.2K+$17
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?On No · 96.9¢ → 97.6¢Last $1K+ trade: bought $1.2K 14 days ago
$1.2K+$8
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?On Yes · 96.6¢ → 96.2¢Last $1K+ trade: sold $1.2K 8 hours ago
$1.2K−$5
1,588 smaller positions, $72.7K in total
1,007 more finished positions awaiting settlement · worth $83 · −$16.8K P&L
George Kittle: Anytime TouchdownOn No · 53¢ → 0¢
$0−$530
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?On No · 71¢ → 0¢
$0−$426
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?On Yes · 66.9¢ → 0¢
$0−$311
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?On Yes · 67¢ → 0¢
$0−$222
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?On No · 39¢ → 0¢
$0−$203
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?On Yes · 35¢ → 0¢
$0−$175
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?On No · 55¢ → 0¢
$0−$174
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?On No · 86¢ → 0¢
$0−$172
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?On Yes · 81¢ → 0¢
$0−$156
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?On Yes · 55.6¢ → 0¢
$0−$147
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?On No · 66¢ → 0¢
$0−$146
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?On No · 73¢ → 0¢
$0−$146
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?On Yes · 29¢ → 0¢
$0−$145
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?On Yes · 79.7¢ → 0¢
$0−$138
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?On No · 68¢ → 0¢
$0−$136
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?On Yes · 42.3¢ → 0¢
$0−$127
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?On No · 85¢ → 0¢
$0−$127
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?On Yes · 25¢ → 0¢
$0−$125
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?On No · 62¢ → 0¢
$0−$124
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?On Yes · 40¢ → 0¢
$0−$120

Showing the 20 with the largest losses, of 1,007

Trades · last 30 days

Latest trades

TimeTradeMarketAmount
Buy18¢OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?On YesDecember 31, 2029$1.1K
Sell97.4¢How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Sold Yes0 (0 bps)$1.2K
Buy95.8¢OpenWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?On YesNo IPO by December 31, 2026$1.3K
Buy98¢OpenIndiana enacts data center moratorium by...?On NoDecember 31, 2026$2.9K
Buy95¢OpenClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?On NoDecember 31, 2026$1.1K

90-day record

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Follow SmartBoyBilly by email

Alerts on trades of $1K+ · it traded that size on 9 of the last 30 days, so about 1–4 emails a week

About this wallet

SmartBoyBilly is a Polymarket wallet tracked by PolyTrace. Last 90 days: 3,414 positions, down $5.3K (−5.8%), win rate 47%; realized P&L down $8K. Data as of 2026-10-24.

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