Polymarket Whale Flow Evidence — Week of Jul 6, 2026
Jul 6, 2026 – Jul 12, 2026 · all data from on-chain transactions and the Polymarket API
The week in one answer
Jul 6, 2026–Jul 12, 2026
Sports carried most tracked whale volume this week.
Sports accounted for 85% of recorded ≥$1K trade volume. Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? was the largest single event at 6% of the weekly total.
Volume fell 12.3% while trade count fell 13.4% versus the prior completed week.
Volume describes recorded ≥$1K fills. It does not establish directional conviction unless the underlying Event evidence says so.
- Leading category
- 85% Sports
- Top event share
- 6% Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- Top trader share
- 5% swisstony
Total Volume$870.5M↓ 12.3% vs prior week
Whale Trades184,072
Active Whales16,230
Events Traded5,017
Top traders by volume
swisstonyMarket Maker
9120 trades$39.9M
0x2c33…0563High Frequency
610 trades$14.1M
DEEDDITMarket Maker
213 trades$13.4M
suntoriMarket Maker
3104 trades$11.0M
palegritSpecialist
179 trades$8.6M
mooseborzoiMarket Maker
2617 trades$8.3M
0xa8de…d11eSpecialist
552 trades$8.0M
muchobligedMarket Maker
73 trades$6.7M
lkinnlgy01Specialist
2525 trades$6.3M
0x3dfb…abafMarket Maker
441 trades$5.8M
Largest single trades
Most active events
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
3659 trades · 1120 whales$53.8M
World Cup Winner
12386 trades · 2481 whales$53.6M
Switzerland vs. Colombia
3461 trades · 848 whales$35.8M
Norway vs. England - More Markets
6739 trades · 1515 whales$32.7M
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
6116 trades · 324 whales$32.5M
France vs. Morocco - More Markets
4938 trades · 1308 whales$27.4M
Norway vs. England
5067 trades · 1163 whales$27.1M
Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets
4950 trades · 1155 whales$25.1M
Spain vs. Belgium
6009 trades · 1205 whales$25.0M
France vs. Morocco
4121 trades · 1337 whales$24.1M
Volume by category
Sports$743.3M144,988 trades
Politics$85.9M24,535 trades
Crypto$19.0M7,608 trades
Finance$8.5M1,923 trades
Unmapped$6.4M1,986 trades
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All data is derived from on-chain Polymarket transactions and the Polymarket Data API. Whale trades are defined as single fills worth $1K+. See our methodology for details. Data provided under our data license.