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Trader profile

muchobliged

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.4%21 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$31.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded21Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.4% / $95% interval +5.8% to +32.9%153 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+19.4%n=153 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.4% · Decided 21 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.1M
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg29.3¢Current12,738.97Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$106.4KAvg35.9¢Current296,416.67Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$107.5KAvg43.3¢Current248,251.59Shares
Australia · YesValue$0PnL−$155.8KAvg41.7¢Current373,561.88Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$563.2KAvg46.7¢Current1,205,478.36Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$5.1MAvg49.9¢Current10,298,704.19Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet muchobliged: 71.4% win rate over 21 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +19.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +5.8%, n=153 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+19.4% over 153 fills); +$2M lifetime P&L, $31.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.