Trader profile

WifesDoubleDTrust

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$17KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…20 open · 98% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded1,519Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−32.8% / $95% interval −281.1% to +215.5%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$6.8K
Concentration: 47.9%
Positions: 23

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

YesValue$648PnL−$277Avg14.3¢Current10¢6,475.78Shares

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026?

YesValue$236PnL+$2Avg78¢Current78.5¢300Shares

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?

YesValue$169PnL−$126Avg8.1¢Current4.7¢3,644.36Shares

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?

YesValue$142PnL+$2Avg70.3¢Current71.1¢200.54Shares

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YesValue$78PnL+$5Avg6.6¢Current7¢1,099.84Shares

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YesValue$34PnL−$2Avg35.8¢Current34.3¢100Shares

Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

NoValue$13PnL+$3Avg78.4¢Current97.3¢13.77Shares

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?

YesValue$10PnL−$8Avg21¢Current11.5¢87.24Shares

Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

13 days ago

BUYYES

No change · 19¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Open market →$1.1K

13 days ago

BUYYES

No change · 18¢

Fed Decision in September?Open market →$1.3K

Add

13 days ago

BUYYES

No change · 20¢

Fed Decision in September?Open market →$1.8K

13 days ago

SELLNO

No change · 80¢

Fed Decision in September?Open market →$7.2K

2 months ago

SELLNO

68,000 · 98.7¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?Open market →$4.8K

About this wallet

Wallet WifesDoubleDTrust: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −32.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −281.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$17K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.