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Bitcoin above ___ on August 1? Polymarket odds: 54,000 100¢ (+0.3¢/24h) · 22 whale trades/7d · $64.1K tracked whale volume · updated 2026-07-31. Smart-money wallets on PolyTrace.
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100¢ 54,000 · +0.3¢ in 24h
Across the 22 trades loaded here, whale flow is net selling $4.2K — the whole of the last 7 days. 45% of the 22 with a tracked profile are profitable lifetime — treat the direction as weak evidence.
Current outcomes 54,000 100¢ +0.3¢ · 24h
56,000 100¢ +0.4¢ · 24h
58,000 99.9¢ +0.6¢ · 24h
60,000 99.3¢ +0.5¢ · 24h
62,000 93.6¢ −3.2¢ · 24h
Signal evidence · 7 days 22 trades Whale trades ≥$1,000
$7.8K Largest single trade
$64.1K Whale volume on this page
≥$1k ≥$5k ≥$10k
22 of 22 trades 2h 0xe392…c023 −$7.9K · 52.7% SELL NO 66,000 · 97.3¢
now 97.4¢ flat since the trade
$4.7K 4h 0x530e…cc11 +$73.7K · 53.1% SELL YES 62,000 · 96¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$2.4K 4h 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 62,000 · 96¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$1.2K 4h 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 62,000 · 96¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$1.2K 4h 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 62,000 · 96¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$1K 5h 0x530e…cc11 +$73.7K · 53.1% SELL YES 62,000 · 96¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$2.5K 12h 0xf67e…a55c +$8.9K · profitable BUY NO 74,000 · 99.9¢
now 100¢ flat since the trade
$7.8K 14h 0xe392…c023 −$7.9K · 52.7% SELL NO 68,000 · 97.8¢
now 99.6¢ −2% in their favour
$1.4K 14h 0x3885…ca77 +$479.2K · profitable BUY NO 66,000 · 84¢
now 97.4¢ +16% in their favour
$1.7K 16h 0xdaa7…3637 +$139 · profitable BUY NO 74,000 · 99.9¢
now 100¢ flat since the trade
$3.9K 16h 0xb9a4…8c04 +$348 · profitable BUY YES 56,000 · 99.9¢
now 100¢ flat since the trade
$4.5K 16h 0x9a67…46e7 +$425 · profitable BUY YES 54,000 · 99.9¢
now 100¢ flat since the trade
$4.4K 17h 0xe392…c023 −$7.9K · 52.7% SELL NO 68,000 · 98¢
now 99.6¢ −2% in their favour
$4.8K 18h 0x88f6…5ee7 +$133 · profitable BUY YES 54,000 · 99.9¢
now 100¢ flat since the trade
$1K 20h 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 62,000 · 96.5¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$1.4K 20h 0xc399…53ab No profile yet · unsynced SELL NO 68,000 · 98.7¢
now 99.6¢ −1% in their favour
$4.8K 1d 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 62,000 · 96.9¢
now 93.6¢ +3% in their favour
$3.1K 1d 0x1fd0…c6a7 −$1.7K · 34.3% BUY NO 68,000 · 99.2¢
now 99.6¢ flat since the trade
$1.1K 1d 0xc399…53ab No profile yet · unsynced SELL NO 68,000 · 94.5¢
now 99.6¢ −5% in their favour
$4.6K 2d 0x285e…f38c No profile yet · unsynced SELL YES 60,000 · 92.4¢
now 99.3¢ −7% in their favour
$1.1K 2d 0x06dc…4524 +$447K · profitable BUY YES 62,000 · 77¢
now 93.6¢ +21% in their favour
$3.8K 4d 0x06dc…4524 +$447K · profitable BUY YES 60,000 · 92¢
now 99.3¢ +8% in their favour
$1.6K