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Trader profile

GoriIIa

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$529KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.3%92 settled · past 90 days11 open · 0% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$42.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded365Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.9% / $95% interval −9.6% to +53.4%168 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+37.3%n=108 settled
Politics
+0.1%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.3% · Decided 92 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$647.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$39.7K
Concentration
35.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$231.2KPnL+$13.1KAvg90.9¢Current96.3¢240,099.31Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$199KPnL+$13.8KAvg82.4¢Current88.5¢224,879.76Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$79.2KPnL+$8.7KAvg83.2¢Current93.5¢84,677.88Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$54.6KPnL+$3.7KAvg86.2¢Current92.5¢59,066.08Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$40.7KPnL+$3.1KAvg85.5¢Current92.5¢43,979.62Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$20.6KPnL+$580Avg82.6¢Current85¢24,213.72Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$15KPnL+$299Avg83.8¢Current85.5¢17,572.75Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$110Avg96.8¢Current99.2¢4,758.24Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet GoriIIa: 66.3% win rate over 92 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +21.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.6%, n=168 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+37.3% over 108 fills); +$529K lifetime P&L, $42.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.