PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xffa3…3d81

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$33.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M955 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded60Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−35.6% / $95% interval −271.1% to +199.8%78 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−35.9%n=74 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$627
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.5K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$627PnL−$1.7KAvg15.7¢Current4.3¢14,590.98Shares
Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg69.6¢Current0¢2,053Shares
Will Marco Rubio say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Fox News: My View appearance?
YesValue$0PnL−$576Avg80¢Current0¢720Shares
Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance?
YesValue$0PnL−$885Avg64.6¢Current0¢1,369Shares
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$39Avg70¢Current0¢55.71Shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$19Avg0.2¢Current0¢9,616.32Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg9.7¢Current0¢2,066.09Shares
Will Marco Rubio say "JD" or "Vance" during Fox News: My View appearance?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg73.7¢Current0¢1,478Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xffa39447b44898fa586ed85058a57026cd423d81: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −35.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −271.1%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−35.9% over 74 fills); −$33.3K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-22.