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Trader profile

Natural2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate25.8%31 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$80.2K57 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded32Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.4% / $95% interval −458.3% to +429.5%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.4%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 25.8% · Decided 31 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Weibo Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$145Avg49¢Current0¢295.2Shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
G2 Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$492Avg42.1¢Current0¢1,168.96Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Team WE · NoValue$0PnL−$723Avg27¢Current0¢2,673.99Shares
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Leviatan Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg7.5¢Current0¢1,330.83Shares
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Cloud9 · NoValue$0PnL−$236Avg30.7¢Current0¢769.77Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢1,052.49Shares
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Argentina · NoValue$0PnL−$749Avg41.2¢Current0¢1,815.39Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LGD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$39Avg28.7¢Current0¢135.47Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Natural2: 25.8% win rate over 31 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −14.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −458.3%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.4% over 14 fills); −$4.5K lifetime P&L, $80.2K traded, updated 2026-09-21.