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Trader profile

Shalizi

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$248Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.7%91 settled · past 180 days0 open · 25 days ago
Lifetime volume$107.2K148 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded91Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.5% / $95% interval −127.2% to +130.2%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.5%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.7% · Decided 91 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.6K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$0PnL−$158Avg77.2¢Current204.55Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$350Avg26¢Current1,346.15Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$380Avg59.6¢Current638.11Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg39.6¢Current631.63Shares
Colorado Rockies · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg46¢Current108.7Shares
Miami Marlins · NoValue$0PnL−$310Avg62.3¢Current497.93Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg13¢Current153.85Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg38¢Current1,053.36Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Shalizi: 51.7% win rate over 91 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +1.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −127.2%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.5% over 25 fills); −$248 lifetime P&L, $107.2K traded, updated 2026-09-20.