PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

NoSteinNoGate

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$53KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…320 open · 43% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,251Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−53.7% / $95% interval −444.5% to +337.1%67 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−45.3%n=46 settled
Finance
−45.4%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$52K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32.5K
Concentration
6.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,374
Showing the largest 8 of 1,374
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$68Avg92.7¢Current94.7¢3,549.79Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$73Avg90.3¢Current92.5¢3,325.56Shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$74Avg85.2¢Current87.5¢3,182.19Shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$58Avg80.3¢Current78.3¢2,827.68Shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$105Avg92.3¢Current97.8¢1,936.78Shares
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$81Avg90.1¢Current96.4¢1,281.45Shares
Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$53Avg93.5¢Current98.1¢1,146.89Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$36Avg36.9¢Current38.2¢2,766.85Shares
Showing 8 of 1,374 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NoSteinNoGate: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −53.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −444.5%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−45.3% over 46 fills); +$53K lifetime P&L, $7.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.