PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SheepToken

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.2%262 settled · past 180 days10 open · 1% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded534Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.7% / $95% interval −396.3% to +362.9%13 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.2% · Decided 262 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$18K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.9K
Concentration
39.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$7.1KPnL+$3.8KAvg27¢Current57.9¢12,188.87Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$4.7KPnL−$33Avg71¢Current70.5¢6,666Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$285Avg52¢Current61.5¢3,000Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$493Avg66¢Current98.9¢1,499.97Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$428Avg38.4¢Current57.5¢2,245.11Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$210Avg51¢Current61.5¢2,000Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
NoValue$231PnL+$126Avg7¢Current15.4¢1,500Shares
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$155PnL+$20Avg27¢Current31¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SheepToken: 51.2% win rate over 262 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −396.3%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days); +$2.6K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.