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Trader profile

JohnLau

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate23.1%65 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$66.2K157 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded81Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.3% / $95% interval −500.7% to +490.1%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.3%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 23.1% · Decided 65 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0.80
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
fnatic · YesValue$0.80PnL−$978Avg61¢Current0.1¢1,604.38Shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Sentinels · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg13.9¢Current0¢14.36Shares
LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
Lodis · YesValue$0PnL−$453Avg87.3¢Current0¢518.69Shares
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Falcons Force · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg62¢Current0¢16.13Shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
B8 · YesValue$0PnL−$979Avg63¢Current0¢1,554.33Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Top Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg67¢Current0¢4,642.45Shares
LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B
Team Orange Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg64¢Current0¢15.63Shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg53¢Current0¢7,336.74Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JohnLau: 23.1% win rate over 65 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −500.7%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.3% over 23 fills); −$4K lifetime P&L, $66.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.