PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet31 open · 2% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded523Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.3% / $95% interval −24.1% to +24.8%189 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+1.5%n=26 settled
Politics
−0.1%n=103 settled
Tech
−0.9%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$220.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$11.8K
Concentration
29.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$64.7KPnL+$472Avg84.9¢Current85.5¢75,659.06Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$25KPnL+$1.7KAvg89.6¢Current96.2¢26,015.4Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$23.7KPnL+$2.8KAvg84.5¢Current95.7¢24,716.81Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
YesValue$14.8KPnL+$2.1KAvg83.3¢Current97¢15,209.88Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$14.6KPnL+$371Avg80.4¢Current82.5¢17,751.17Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$11.8KPnL+$372Avg84.7¢Current87.5¢13,522Shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
YesValue$10.8KPnL+$457Avg95.7¢Current99.9¢10,836.6Shares
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$8.2KPnL+$812Avg89.5¢Current99.4¢8,208.07Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05…: edge +0.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.1%, n=189 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+1.5% over 26 fills); −$2.9K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.