PolyTrace
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Trader profile

cookedquail

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$21.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet23 open · 31% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$378.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded118Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.0% / $95% interval −535.5% to +497.5%20 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−16.6%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$23.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.4K
Concentration
46.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$10.9KPnL+$4.9KAvg43.8¢Current79.5¢13,651.01Shares
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
YesValue$5.2KPnL−$778Avg20.1¢Current17.5¢29,525.73Shares
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$1.3KAvg15.2¢Current8.5¢19,999.58Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$329Avg76.2¢Current98.6¢1,476.15Shares
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
NoValue$805PnL−$20Avg46.1¢Current45¢1,789.31Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?
NoValue$572PnL+$99Avg81¢Current97.9¢585Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$517PnL+$42Avg46¢Current50¢1,034.58Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$463PnL+$397Avg13¢Current91.5¢505.71Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cookedquail: edge −19.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −535.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−16.6% over 19 fills); +$21.9K lifetime P&L, $378.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.