PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfef4…29bd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.7%88 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded83Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.4% / $95% interval −280.4% to +231.6%28 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−4.1%n=10 settled
Finance
−34.0%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.7% · Decided 88 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0.13
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
NoValue$0.13PnL+$0.01Avg91.9¢Current100¢0.13Shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.47Avg4.7¢Current0¢9.97Shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
YesValue$0PnL−$324Avg22.4¢Current0¢1,448.03Shares
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg39.8¢Current0¢2,656Shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$123Avg5¢Current0¢2,491.02Shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg51.9¢Current0¢2,499.94Shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$160Avg6.4¢Current0¢2,499.34Shares
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$489Avg4.6¢Current0¢10,520.04Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfef4edf8c1a76e66ff065081a136c9bfeef429bd: 72.7% win rate over 88 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −24.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −280.4%, n=28 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−4.1% over 10 fills); +$1.2K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-21.