PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfeef…4b1f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet8 open · 85% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$717.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,703Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.8% / $95% interval −466.3% to +384.7%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−37.1%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1K
Concentration
69.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$793PnL+$193Avg74.5¢Current98.5¢805.25Shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$95PnL+$17Avg2.3¢Current2.8¢3,443.77Shares
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$87PnL−$63Avg87.3¢Current50.5¢171.82Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$59PnL+$9Avg5.2¢Current6.2¢953.4Shares
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$41PnL−$309Avg31.3¢Current3.7¢1,118.98Shares
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$32PnL−$168Avg9.9¢Current1.6¢2,025.82Shares
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$17PnL−$713Avg17¢Current0.4¢4,286.44Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$13PnL−$12Avg8¢Current4.1¢312.5Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfeef43350c1e8dd36b2784b4ffd8d256d9724b1f: edge −40.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −466.3%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−37.1% over 17 fills); −$6K lifetime P&L, $717.5K traded, updated 2026-09-24.