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Trader profile

NKFAII

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$66.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32%122 settled · past 180 days0 open · 12 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M293 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded121Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−28.2% / $95% interval −275.9% to +219.5%39 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−28.2%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32% · Decided 122 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$88.3K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
55
Showing the largest 8 of 55
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg14.7¢Current17,037.43Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg72¢Current3,577.02Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg35¢Current5Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$240Avg15¢Current1,600Shares
GAM Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg6.2¢Current803Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$600Avg14¢Current4,285.71Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$743Avg34¢Current2,184.26Shares
NIP · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg66.1¢Current3,025.51Shares
Showing 8 of 55 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NKFAII: 32% win rate over 122 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −28.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −275.9%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−28.2% over 39 fills); −$66.4K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-21.