PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfec8…67f7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$92Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet5 open · 92% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.4K20 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded10Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$299
Concentration
53.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$949PnL−$51Avg88¢Current83.5¢1,136.36Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$613PnL−$137Avg64.2¢Current52.5¢1,168.33Shares
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$120PnL+$20Avg30.3¢Current36.5¢329.88Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$71PnL−$29Avg7.8¢Current5.6¢1,283.23Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YesValue$27PnL−$3Avg54.2¢Current48¢55.4Shares
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$78Avg95¢Current0¢82.1Shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg48.4¢Current0¢41.33Shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg9¢Current0¢11.11Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfec84ba946b063d57580366e02e97a18c75167f7: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$92 lifetime P&L, $4.4K traded, updated 2026-09-22.