PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfe54…41d6

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$280.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…2 open · 28% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M559 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded59Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.2% / $95% interval −46.1% to −4.3%166 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−25.2%n=166 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$375
Snapshot cash PnL
−$775.5K
Concentration
61.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$229PnL+$74Avg3.8¢Current5.6¢4,094.72Shares
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$146PnL−$29Avg3.4¢Current2.9¢5,108.24Shares
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds · NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg31¢Current0¢9,124.19Shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners · YesValue$0PnL−$39.5KAvg58.2¢Current0¢67,893.59Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$4.6KAvg62¢Current0¢7,381.06Shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds · YesValue$0PnL−$59.9KAvg41.7¢Current0¢143,855.07Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$36KAvg62.9¢Current0¢57,248.28Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles · YesValue$0PnL−$32.8KAvg57¢Current0¢57,506.71Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfe5428c1b7fae9f29cc5ce3b393d9a77251541d6: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −25.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −46.1%, n=166 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−25.2% over 166 fills); −$280.1K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.