PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

0xfdfc…bf06

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$175.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.1%97 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M499 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded106Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.1% / $95% interval −33.0% to +55.2%33 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+11.1%n=33 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.1% · Decided 97 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$102.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chicago Cubs · NoValue$0PnL−$44AvgCurrent886.26Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg52¢Current4,336.38Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$4.4KAvg55¢Current8,080.55Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$5.6KAvg46.8¢Current11,932.45Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$556Avg10¢Current5,555Shares
Detroit Tigers · YesValue$0PnL−$700AvgCurrent10,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$372AvgCurrent4,655Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 22¢
unavailableThe settled result could not be read for this trade.
$1.1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 17¢
unavailableThe settled result could not be read for this trade.
$2.2K

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfdfc13c7e8fbc35de0973adc259a6c59f757bf06: 38.1% win rate over 97 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +11.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.0%, n=33 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+11.1% over 33 fills); −$175.2K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.