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Trader profile

oneheadedtiger

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$230.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.2%3,706 settled · past 90 days10 open · 98% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$46.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded748Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.3% / $95% interval −60.2% to +60.8%242 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.3%n=242 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.2% · Decided 3,706 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$8.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.8K
Concentration
18.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 4 Winner
Luminosity · YesValue$1.5KPnL−$44Avg52¢Current50.5¢3,017.1Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner
3DMAX · NoValue$1.5KPnL−$122Avg49.8¢Current46¢3,250.17Shares
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Damajuana (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
MEIA NOITE · YesValue$1.1KPnL−$675Avg82.6¢Current51.5¢2,172.21Shares
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winner
MEIA NOITE · YesValue$1KPnL−$310Avg67.4¢Current51.5¢1,953.09Shares
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winner
MEIA NOITE · YesValue$985PnL−$383Avg71.5¢Current51.5¢1,912.79Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
Luminosity · YesValue$955PnL−$2.7KAvg59¢Current15.5¢6,163.59Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner
Luminosity · YesValue$617PnL+$57Avg49¢Current54¢1,143.1Shares
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
ODDIK · YesValue$365PnL+$6Avg77.1¢Current78.5¢465Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet oneheadedtiger: 49.2% win rate over 3,706 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −60.2%, n=242 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.3% over 242 fills); +$230.6K lifetime P&L, $46.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.