PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0xfc2f…10c7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$210.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37%351 settled · past 90 days35 open · 85% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$54.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded305Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.9% / $95% interval −59.5% to +103.4%311 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+169.6%n=35 settled
Finance
+13.8%n=44 settled
Politics
−8.7%n=232 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37% · Decided 351 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$40.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$638K
Concentration
25.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
591
Showing the largest 8 of 591
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$10.4KPnL+$245Avg83.5¢Current85.5¢12,216.49Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$100Avg92¢Current94.5¢4,000Shares
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$2.9KPnL−$135Avg86.8¢Current83¢3,550Shares
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL−$145Avg86.8¢Current82.5¢3,400Shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$63Avg82.6¢Current84.5¢3,235.99Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$2.2KPnL−$754Avg67.8¢Current50.5¢4,362.5Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$302Avg6.7¢Current8¢24,076.02Shares
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$21Avg85¢Current84¢2,156.1Shares
Showing 8 of 591 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7: 37% win rate over 351 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +21.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −59.5%, n=311 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+13.8% over 44 fills); +$210.8K lifetime P&L, $54.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.