PolyTrace
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Trader profile

crappy

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$290.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded517Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.5% / $95% interval −76.8% to +35.9%179 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.5%n=179 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$529.6K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
145
Showing the largest 8 of 145
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg45.9¢Current3,079.8Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.8KAvg34.8¢Current13,913.91Shares
T1 · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg32.4¢Current4,167.5Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg41.8¢Current3,588.3Shares
paiN Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg41.3¢Current6,526.31Shares
Argentina · YesValue$0PnL−$217Avg42¢Current517.37Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$413Avg22.6¢Current1,827.06Shares
FC Bayern München · YesValue$0PnL−$826Avg39¢Current2,117.19Shares
Showing 8 of 145 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet crappy: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −20.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −76.8%, n=179 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.5% over 179 fills); −$290.5K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.