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Trader profile

XAE12Archangel

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$157.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.8%215 settled · past 90 days65 open · 58% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$372.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded157Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.1% / $95% interval −63.4% to +27.1%695 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−17.0%n=650 settled
Sports
−26.4%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.8% · Decided 215 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$120.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.7M
Concentration
22.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
193
Showing the largest 8 of 193
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$26.8KPnL+$788Avg96.6¢Current99.6¢26,932.54Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
NoValue$17.9KPnL+$1.1KAvg93.4¢Current99.5¢18,036.26Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$17.4KPnL+$570Avg86.6¢Current89.5¢19,470.44Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
NoValue$9.2KPnL−$202Avg87.9¢Current86¢10,733.1Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$8.7KPnL+$3.4KAvg20.9¢Current34.5¢25,090.27Shares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$432Avg78.6¢Current85.2¢6,610.19Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$147Avg84.1¢Current87¢5,096.79Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$1.8KAvg14.9¢Current26.5¢15,532.57Shares
Showing 8 of 193 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet XAE12Archangel: 62.8% win rate over 215 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −18.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −63.4%, n=695 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−17.0% over 650 fills); +$157.5K lifetime P&L, $372.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.