PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfbe8…bb28

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$47.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.2%331 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$644.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded504Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.8% / $95% interval −67.6% to +44.1%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.8%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.2% · Decided 331 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$637
Snapshot cash PnL
−$101.4K
Concentration
72.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
229
Showing the largest 8 of 229
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
TYLOO · YesValue$459PnL−$7Avg33¢Current32.5¢1,412.12Shares
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B
largadosypelados · YesValue$178PnL−$10Avg54.9¢Current52¢342.18Shares
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs
Johnny Speeds · YesValue$0PnL−$155Avg84.9¢Current0¢182.52Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg24¢Current0¢416.67Shares
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
regain · YesValue$0PnL−$142Avg18¢Current0¢789.72Shares
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
OverValue$0PnL−$908Avg38¢Current0¢2,388.68Shares
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Eintracht Spandau · NoValue$0PnL−$328Avg19.5¢Current0¢1,683.74Shares
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ici Japon Corp. Esport · NoValue$0PnL−$891Avg15.4¢Current0¢5,780.92Shares
Showing 8 of 229 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfbe8b1fccf402e4c7a739f5989aaee17ec6fbb28: 40.2% win rate over 331 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −67.6%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.8% over 21 fills); −$47.3K lifetime P&L, $644.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.