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Trader profile

ElonSimp

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet8 open · 10% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded44Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.7% / $95% interval −693.1% to +643.8%36 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−24.7%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$3.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.6K
Concentration
72%
Largest share of value
Positions
471
Showing the largest 8 of 471
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$24Avg98.5¢Current99.5¢2,461.62Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
NoValue$650PnL+$17Avg86.2¢Current88.5¢734.55Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
NoValue$125PnL−$0.91Avg48.9¢Current48.5¢256.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$112PnL+$9Avg28.6¢Current31¢360.32Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$47PnL−$2Avg6.3¢Current6.1¢762.65Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$10PnL−$3Avg1.5¢Current1.2¢853.98Shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$0.18Avg0.4¢Current0.4¢362Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
NoValue$0.98PnL+$0.02Avg98.4¢Current100¢0.98Shares
Showing 8 of 471 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ElonSimp: edge −24.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −693.1%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−24.7% over 36 fills); +$2.1K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.