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Trader profile

Nicejaguar11

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$196K382 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded79Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−46.4% / $95% interval −152.8% to +59.9%13 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−46.4%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?
YesValue$0PnL−$470Avg12¢Current0¢3,917.87Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
YesValue$0PnL−$198Avg38¢Current0¢520.13Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg0.9¢Current0¢2,114.85Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?
YesValue$0PnL−$114Avg4.3¢Current0¢2,685.19Shares
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 26?
YesValue$0PnL−$201Avg2.6¢Current0¢7,719.81Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$7Avg14.1¢Current0¢49.82Shares
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 26?
YesValue$0PnL−$547Avg10.1¢Current0¢5,418.14Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?
YesValue$0PnL−$303Avg6.8¢Current0¢4,445.61Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nicejaguar11: edge −46.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −152.8%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−46.4% over 13 fills); −$17K lifetime P&L, $196K traded, updated 2026-09-23.