PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfb59…83f9

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$79.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.8%230 settled · past 180 days17 open · 49% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded233Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.1% / $95% interval −85.3% to +113.5%53 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+12.9%n=37 settled
Politics
+9.4%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.8% · Decided 230 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$112.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26.3K
Concentration
60%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$67.4KPnL+$24.9KAvg50¢Current79.4¢85,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$17.6KPnL−$24.9KAvg50¢Current20.7¢85,000Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$7.5KPnL+$166Avg83¢Current84.9¢8,786.13Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$325Avg87¢Current93.5¢5,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$122Avg83¢Current85.5¢4,892.45Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$3.5KPnL−$6Avg86.8¢Current86.7¢4,055.95Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$87Avg77.6¢Current81.8¢2,073.33Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$78Avg92¢Current96.5¢1,752.7Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9: 64.8% win rate over 230 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −85.3%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+12.9% over 37 fills); +$79.7K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.