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Trader profile

StudentMoney

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$40.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.8%875 settled · past 180 days85 open · 6% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$25.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded396Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.2% / $95% interval −181.6% to +165.2%128 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.7%n=45 settled
Politics
−21.8%n=72 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.8% · Decided 875 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$318K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$49.9K
Concentration
30%
Largest share of value
Positions
85
Showing the largest 8 of 85
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$95.5KPnL+$22.2KAvg65.1¢Current84.9¢112,493.63Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$53.8KPnL+$16.8KAvg40.1¢Current58.3¢92,356.61Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$28.8KPnL+$6KAvg30.4¢Current38.4¢75,008.55Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$25.6KPnL+$4.6KAvg70.1¢Current85.5¢29,991.53Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YesValue$23.5KPnL+$322Avg96.3¢Current97.7¢24,077.45Shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$17.2KPnL−$669Avg24.4¢Current23.5¢73,280.61Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$9KPnL−$854Avg44.3¢Current40.5¢22,209.99Shares
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
YesValue$7.8KPnL+$161Avg91.5¢Current93.4¢8,377.61Shares
Showing 8 of 85 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StudentMoney: 69.8% win rate over 875 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −181.6%, n=128 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.7% over 45 fills); −$40.2K lifetime P&L, $25.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.