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Trader profile

Rumpelstiltskin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%24 settled · past 90 days24 open · 47% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$614.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded211Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 24 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$17.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.7K
Concentration
27.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
83
Showing the largest 8 of 83
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$4.9KPnL+$740Avg83.6¢Current98.6¢4,937.48Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3KPnL−$1.3KAvg61.1¢Current42.5¢7,171.15Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$330Avg81.2¢Current92.9¢2,841.81Shares
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$266Avg86.3¢Current98.3¢2,219.92Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$338Avg26.5¢Current40¢2,509.99Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
NoValue$967PnL+$38Avg92.9¢Current96.7¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$814PnL+$47Avg68.3¢Current72.5¢1,122.92Shares
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$502PnL+$136Avg58.2¢Current80¢626.92Shares
Showing 8 of 83 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Rumpelstiltskin: 62.5% win rate over 24 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$23.4K lifetime P&L, $614.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.