PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Seutervoinen

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$132.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate84.3%396 settled · past 90 days112 open · 58% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded493Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.1% / $95% interval −110.9% to +92.8%324 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−0.7%n=98 settled
Politics
−9.1%n=180 settled
Sports
−21.7%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 84.3% · Decided 396 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$222.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7K
Concentration
13.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
112
Showing the largest 8 of 112
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$30.8KPnL+$606Avg93.6¢Current95.5¢32,200.24Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$28.3KPnL+$372Avg98.3¢Current99.7¢28,444.05Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$17.2KPnL+$315Avg97.4¢Current99.3¢17,336.96Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$11.3KPnL−$262Avg66¢Current64.5¢17,476.07Shares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$11.2KPnL+$202Avg84¢Current85.5¢13,104.62Shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
NoValue$11.1KPnL+$222Avg92.9¢Current94.8¢11,710.57Shares
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?
YesValue$7.3KPnL+$32Avg89.6¢Current90¢8,094.78Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$60Avg98.4¢Current99.5¢5,519.17Shares
Showing 8 of 112 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Seutervoinen: 84.3% win rate over 396 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −110.9%, n=324 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−0.7% over 98 fills); +$132.2K lifetime P&L, $6.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.