PolyTrace
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Trader profile

over.

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$84.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.2%59 settled · past 90 days3 open · 11% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded273Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.2% / $95% interval −34.5% to +16.1%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.8%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.2% · Decided 59 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$44.8K
Concentration
68.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$25Avg47.7¢Current48.5¢3,199.8Shares
YesValue$600PnL+$150Avg16.6¢Current22.2¢2,710.96Shares
YesValue$123PnL−$22Avg9.9¢Current8.5¢1,457.58Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$35Avg3.5¢Current1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$32Avg3.2¢Current1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$512Avg3.5¢Current14,482.97Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg11¢Current1,818.18Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg30.7¢Current13,732.56Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet over.: 49.2% win rate over 59 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.5%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.8% over 14 fills); −$84.1K lifetime P&L, $4.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.