PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Socialista

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet52 open · 47% underwater · 34 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,088Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+20.7% / $95% interval −33.5% to +74.8%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+21.2%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete34 minutes ago
Current position value
$13.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$71K
Concentration
9.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
269
Showing the largest 8 of 269
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$37Avg85¢Current87.5¢1,493.12Shares
Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$5Avg99.4¢Current99.9¢1,282.92Shares
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$9Avg62¢Current61.5¢1,800Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$785PnL+$162Avg62.3¢Current78.5¢1,000.19Shares
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$712PnL+$27Avg94.3¢Current98¢726.45Shares
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$638PnL+$6Avg93.5¢Current94.4¢676Shares
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$577PnL+$46Avg85.5¢Current93¢620.18Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$563PnL+$88Avg19¢Current22.5¢2,500Shares
Showing 8 of 269 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Socialista: edge +20.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.5%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+21.2% over 23 fills); −$5.7K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.