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Trader profile

api3799

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet11 open · 37% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$253.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,088Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.0% / $95% interval −709.7% to +681.7%12 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−14.0%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.1K
Concentration
78.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,618
Showing the largest 8 of 1,618
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 23?
NoValue$993PnL+$3Avg96.7¢Current97¢1,023.89Shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 24?
NoValue$113PnL−$2Avg96¢Current94.5¢120Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on September 23?
NoValue$55PnL+$3Avg93.6¢Current99.2¢55Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?
NoValue$38PnL+$3Avg90.9¢Current99.3¢38.33Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 22?
NoValue$34PnL+$0.70Avg97.9¢Current100¢34.2Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 30°C or higher on September 23?
NoValue$14PnL+$3Avg81.1¢Current99.5¢14.18Shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 22?
NoValue$12PnL+$3Avg78¢Current100¢12Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on September 22?
NoValue$10PnL+$0.20Avg97.9¢Current100¢10.01Shares
Showing 8 of 1,618 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet api3799: edge −14.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −709.7%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−14.0% over 12 fills); −$10K lifetime P&L, $253.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.