PolyTrace
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Trader profile

siick

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$96KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%278 settled · past 90 days98 open · 47% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded799Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.4% / $95% interval −153.9% to +147.2%112 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−4.5%n=100 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 278 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$83.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$148.6K
Concentration
9.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
488
Showing the largest 8 of 488
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
NoValue$7.9KPnL+$224Avg96.6¢Current99.4¢7,997.53Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.3KPnL+$299Avg64.7¢Current67.5¢10,862.09Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.2KPnL+$182Avg37¢Current38.2¢16,242.01Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
NoValue$5.7KPnL+$350Avg45¢Current48¢11,825.79Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$400Avg83.5¢Current91.5¢5,000Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4KPnL−$40Avg77.3¢Current76.5¢5,268.33Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$4KPnL+$441Avg76¢Current85.5¢4,646.76Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$3.7KPnL+$875Avg2.1¢Current2.8¢135,428.68Shares
Showing 8 of 488 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet siick: 50% win rate over 278 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −153.9%, n=112 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−4.5% over 100 fills); +$96K lifetime P&L, $10.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.