PolyTrace
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Trader profile

vovatoxic

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$135.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.3%52 settled · past 90 days12 open · 39% underwater · 21 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M431 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded167Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+13.2% / $95% interval −32.6% to +59.0%46 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.2%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 32 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.3% · Decided 52 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete21 minutes ago
Current position value
$28.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$65.9K
Concentration
50.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$14.1KPnL+$2.1KAvg82.8¢Current97.4¢14,487.22Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$2.5KAvg45.3¢Current22.5¢11,037.46Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$426Avg54¢Current65.5¢3,703.7Shares
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$276Avg82.2¢Current93.5¢2,433.75Shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$908Avg49¢Current93.5¢2,040.82Shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$369Avg68.3¢Current93.5¢1,464.19Shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$260Avg75¢Current94.5¢1,333.44Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1KPnL−$60Avg12.2¢Current11.5¢9,047.62Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet vovatoxic: 42.3% win rate over 52 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +13.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.6%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.2% over 46 fills); +$135.8K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.